How One Polling Decision Is Leading to Two Distinct Stories of the Election

By The New York Times | Oct 6, 2024 at 05:06 AM EST

Recent polling results show divergent paths due to the methodological choice of weighting on recalled vote, impacting the outcome similarity to either the 2020 or 2022 elections. Pollsters increasingly use this method to ensure balanced representation of Trump supporters, despite historical issues with its accuracy.

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