What's the old saying? “Actions have consequences”? Or maybe the new one should be: “Breaking up as BFFs with POTUS loses you defense contracts.”
Because that’s exactly what’s happening right now. Donald Trump has officially iced out his on-again, off-again bestie Elon Musk… and is apparently flirting with Jeff Bezos instead. (Which if my memory serves me correctly is the same guy Trump once accused of running a “fake news” empire and trying to dodge taxes with Amazon.) Ah, politics… where enemies become friends if the incentive is big enough.
For reference, Trump is building a massive $175 billion space defense system called Golden Dome… a satellite-powered missile shield designed to blanket the entire U.S. in orbital protection. Originally, SpaceX was the obvious favorite to take the lead. They’ve launched over 9,000 Starlink satellites, ran 81 missions in just the first half of 2025, and command more than 90% of Earth’s total orbital payload delivery. For context: if something went to space this year, odds are Elon’s rockets took it there. But then Musk did the unthinkable… he bit the hand that funds him.
Things went south fast. Back in June, Musk publicly trashed Trump’s “Big Beautiful Bill”... after it nuked EV tax credits… a cash cow Tesla desperately needs (and if you’re a shareholder, maybe don’t peek at that last earnings report unless you enjoy pain).Then he launched a political group called the America Party, openly opposing GOP leaders who supported Trump’s plan.
So what did Trump do? Exactly what you'd expect: froze out Musk and opened the doors to his old nemesis Jeff Bezos, whose Project Kuiper is now reportedly being fast-tracked as a core component of Golden Dome (Think Israel’s Iron Dome, but instead of intercepting rockets over a city, this one’s designed to create a space-based shield across the entire continental U.S., with Pentagon-grade broadband built in.)
(Source: Politico)
This is where things start to get interesting… and not in the “innovation breakthrough” kind of way. More like the “are we really handing missile defense to a beta test?” kind of way.
I mean, seriously? Amazon’s Project Kuiper, the new “hot girl” catching the Pentagon’s eye, has launched just 78 satellites out of a planned 3,000. That’s not a fully functioning network… that’s barely a proof of concept. (Picture early-2000s Jonah Hill showing up to run the Boston Marathon with running shoes and a granola bar.) But despite being years behind SpaceX in deployment and infrastructure, Kuiper is now being discussed as a key part of the $175 billion Golden Dome defense program.
Let’s call a spade a spade… we all know what’s really going on here. Trump’s still in his feelings about Elon. And instead of sticking with the guy who’s been reliably launching U.S. military satellites for years, he’d rather test the waters elsewhere… possibly because Musk once implied he was in the Epstein files.
That said, defense officials are framing it a bit more diplomatically. According to them, the issue is control: SpaceX holds too much power, and Elon Musk is… well, let’s say not exactly low-maintenance these days. (It’s a bit of a warning light when your primary defense contractor is simultaneously launching rockets, roasting the President on X, and rolling out a political party of his own.)
Newly married Bezos, for his part, has tried to play it cool as a cucumber. He insists Kuiper is “primarily commercial,” but admitted there would “no doubt” be military applications. (In other words: “We’ll take the defense money, just don’t quote me at the Senate hearing.”)
And as Elon’s position weakens, the rest of the defense sector is circling like it’s contract season. Rocket Lab and Stoke Space have both been contacted for launch bids, while legacy giants like Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, and L3Harris are reportedly being brought into the fold for satellite architecture and missile tracking systems. Even Raytheon (excuse me, RTX) is pitching its Patriot missile system as a plug-and-play option for early Golden Dome integration. In short: if your tech works and your CEO hasn’t declared war on the sitting President, you’re on the short list.
The urgency behind all this is real. Trump’s Defense Secretary, Pete Hegseth, has given the new head of Space Force, General Michael Guetlein, 30 days to build a team, 60 days to present a draft design, and 120 days to deliver a full implementation plan for Golden Dome. (For context, most defense programs move at the speed of an IRS refund. This one’s being fast-tracked like a national emergency.) Still, Kuiper isn’t ready. But that may not matter to Trump. Naturally, Musk responded the way only Musk can: by tweeting. “Federal acquisition regulations require using the best provider at the best price. Anything else would be breaking the law.”
Which is Musk’s legalese version of: “I dare you to try replacing me.” And to be fair, Musk has receipts. SpaceX is still launching 90% of the world’s orbital payload, and nobody else is remotely close. So yes, they’ll still land plenty of launch contracts… the Pentagon simply doesn’t have a better option yet.
But it’s hard to ignore, the monopoly’s cracking. The political cover that once helped SpaceX dominate military space is fading. And now that Elon’s picked a very public fight with the guy writing the checks, the Pentagon is suddenly feeling brave enough to explore other options… even if those options aren’t fully built yet.
So what happens next? That depends on whether Bezos can actually scale Kuiper into something defense-grade, fast. Because if he can’t (and if the government spreads contracts too thin just to make a point) they risk turning the Golden Dome into a Frankenstein system of half-ready parts and rushed integration. (And if there’s one thing we’ve learned from past defense programs… that usually ends in delays, cost overruns, and late-night hearings on C-SPAN.)
No, SpaceX isn’t going away, but this power shift is real. And if Kuiper stumbles, the government may find itself crawling back to Elon… only this time, on his terms.
At the time of publishing this article, Stocks.News holds positions in Amazon and Tesla as mentioned in the article.
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