Microsoft—the de facto sugar daddy of OpenAI and the unofficial landlord of half the internet—just ghosted a bunch of its bigly data center deals. From the cornfields of Illinois to the concrete jungle of Jakarta, Redmond’s been pulling out faster than… well…. let’s just say really fast.
(Source: Giphy)
In short, sources say Microsoft has either halted or slow-walked data center projects in at least six regions: the UK, Australia, Indonesia, Illinois, Wisconsin, and North Dakota. Meaning, if you’ve ever seen a multi-billion-dollar megacorp flinch, this is it. Clearly, this is Microsoft easing off the infrastructure gas pedal. And it’s definitely sending chills through tech stocks, especially the ones still drunk off the generative AI Kool-Aid (sup, Nvidia). So with that, what the hell is actually happening?
Well, here’s what we do know so far. Microsoft spent $262 million in the first six months constructing its Wisconsin site—$40 million of that went to concrete alone. No you didn’t read that wrong. Forty million dollars—on concrete. And now, expansion is on hold. In Jakarta, they’ve paused parts of a data center campus. In North Dakota, they dragged out talks so long that the exclusivity clause expired and the developer moved on. In London, they bailed on leasing space at a 210-megawatt site built specifically to host Nvidia-powered AI workloads.
(Source: Bloomberg)
Of course, Microsoft says it’s just being “flexible” with its strategy, but we all know what that means. Translation: “We’re not ready to admit we overbuilt, but also please stop asking questions.” On the other hand, the question now is whether this is a temporary construction hiccup or an actual signal that AI demand isn’t keeping up with the hype. The Street’s not sure. Some analysts say Microsoft is simply shifting focus from slapping up new buildings to stuffing existing ones with more servers. Others point to OpenAI’s little side quest with Oracle and SoftBank—a $100B to $500B infrastructure power move that makes Microsoft look like it’s building legos.
Meanwhile, CoreWeave said Microsoft recently backed away from leasing more of its cloud capacity. CoreWeave’s CEO didn’t cry about it, because apparently they found another buyer. But it’s hard not to notice a pattern here. Oh, and just to twist the knife, Alibaba’s Joe Tsai said last week that we’re probably in a data center bubble—too much supply chasing not-yet-real AI demand. Keep in mind, that’s from a guy who would love for you to believe that AI is going to eat the world. So when he says the buildout is overdone, maybe listen.
(Source: Yahoo Finance)
In the end, Microsoft still says it plans to spend $80 billion on data centers in its current fiscal year. But next year? The vibes shift. Less new construction, more retrofitting. It’s the cloud computing equivalent of moving back in with your parents to save money after blowing too much on memecoins called “Fartcoin” (look it up).
Naturally, some say this is a full-on pivot, but in reality it may be a recalibration. But regardless, it should make you think twice about how baked-in AI demand really is. Microsoft isn’t abandoning the cloud arms race—they’re just not showing up to every fight anymore. Meaning, if you’re long hyperscalers, AI chipmakers, or any startup pitching its Series A with ChatGPT screenshots and a prayer, this is your cue to reassess. The runway might be longer than you thought. And the hype cycle? It doesn’t build data centers. Money does. And Microsoft just stopped spending it like it’s infinite.
(Source: Giphy)
So yeah, in the meantime, keep your eyes on this story, and place your bets accordingly. As always, stay safe and stay frosty, friends! Until next time…
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Stocks.News holds positions in Microsoft as mentioned in the article.
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